Template:Counting Crimes

Counting Crimes and Incarcerations

There are politicians, protesters and pundits who gather and share statistics correlating the numbers with the cause of what is conveniently identified as a problem in society.

But correlation alone is not proof of the cause. In statistics, the phrase "correlation does not imply causation" is a reference to the inability to legitimately deduce a cause-and-effect relationship between variables solely on the basis of an observable association or correlation between them. The idea that "correlation implies causation" is a questionable-cause logical fallacy, in which two events occurring together are taken to have established a cause-and-effect relationship when in fact they have not.

Without understanding all of the factors effecting the processes of the individual events and their effects upon the crowd psychology of society as a group evidence of the actual causality may be illusive. Causality is influence by which one event, process or state contributes to the production of another event, process or state where the cause is partly responsible for the resulting effect, and the effect is partly dependent upon the cause. In general, a process may have many causes, which are also said to be causal factors.

Where is the real threat to communities and their members?

Is it the police and judicial policies or other factors driving statistics? Can community or collective cultural practices cultivate the apathy, sloth, avarice, and greed of the people themselves?

What really is taking the liberty and the lives in society?

Is racism rampant?

Is it even a significant factor in causing the difficulties and inequalities in society as some people suggest the statistics prove?

Why are people rioting? If they are wrong about their conclusions concerning the real meaning of statistics presented and repeated in the media, what is the truth?

What has caused liberty to diminish and society to decay in nation after nation from the dawn of man?

The Race in America, a Holy Post video by Phil Vischer correlates what appears to be an impressive list of statistics which he seems to claims prove the cause of the plight of American Black community is racism.

Are there statistical disparity in his statistical conclusions and is there a "lurking variable" he has not perceived?

Have communities been accepting ideas that have been creeping in to their thinking through schemes or practices that have been steadily altering the course and culture of society?

"I have begun everything with the idea that I could succeed, and I never had much patience with the multitudes of people who are always ready to explain why one cannot succeed. – Booker T Washington

While Phil's video is polished the facts can be misleading because it is missing a basic understanding of the key factors in the individual and social development of communities as the root causes of why they break down. His presentation is not alone in its misconception of the cause and effect for societal decay.

"A whining crying race may be pitied but seldom respected." – Booker T Washington

Many of the statistics presented by pundits who point to racism as the problem are used by their opponents to prove another cause for the effects we see.

There are those that like quoting that "In 2018, black people were three times more likely to be killed by police than were whites." That sounds terrible but is it because of racism?

What they fail to mention is that Blacks commit more than 5 times the crimes as Whites including almost 50 percent of the murders even though they only account for 12% of the population.

In 2016 there were 6676 murders in the USA, 3176 were committed by blacks and 3196 by whites. Blacks are only 12% but commit almost 50% of the murders. How is that possible?

And white account for the other half of the murders but are more than half at 61% of the population. In 2016 there were 777 interracial homicides. 553 were committed by Blacks. Why are blacks committing more homicides?

Statistics also show that about 68 to 85% of all interracial homicides are committed by Blacks even though they are only 12% of the population. Historically speaking black people are not more violent than white people so the present statistics of who is most violent has nothing to do with race.

So what is causing this extreme inequality in murder and violent crimes rates if it is not racial? and what about police killings?

The FBI counted 435 “justifiable homicides” by police officers in 2016, and in 429 of the cases, the person had a firearm when killed.

Police have over 60,000,000 encounters every year with the public. They only arrest 10,000,000 annually, a number that has steadily gone down since 2006. Even though their job includes finding, capturing, and arresting some of the most violent murders, gangsters, thieves, and robbers in the nation they are able to do that with very few actual deaths. Police killed 1,165 people in 2018. Seeing that the police are called to get to the most dangerous part of town and confront the most desperate criminals in your community as quickly as possible it would seem that more people would likely die in a nation of 320,000,000 people.

On the other hand 250,000 people in the US die every year because of medical mistakes, making it the third-leading cause of death after heart disease and cancer. Even though there are about 883.7 million visits to Physicians only 36,353,946 people are admitted to all U.S. Hospitals. Doctors are human, like policeman they make mistakes, "Roughly 12,000,000 Americans are misdiagnosed each year."

While Doctors do have to deal with complex issues they are not endanger of being shot, stabbed or over powered by their patience when they are making their diagnosis. They have to make choices but do not have to chase their patience in dark streets or wrestle their patience to the ground, subdue them, and take them into custody while in life threatening situations. Still thousands die because of mistakes doctors make all the time.

In 2017, police killed 19 unarmed black males, down from 36 in 2015, according to The Washington Post. There were 66 police officers in 2016 were “feloniously” killed but 135 died in the line of duty.

How many lives do police officers save every year by direct action? How many do they save by their presence?

"A recent “deadly force” study by Washington State University researcher Lois James found that police officers were less likely to shoot unarmed black suspects than unarmed white or Hispanic ones in simulated threat scenarios. Harvard economics professor Roland Fryer analyzed more than 1,000 officer-involved shootings across the country. He concluded that there is zero evidence of racial bias in police shootings. In Houston, he found that blacks were 24 percent less likely than whites to be shot by officers even though the suspects were armed or violent." [https://www.facebook.com/127225910653607/posts/3236873216355512/ Are the Police Racist? by Heather Mac Donald

Has "Legal charity" and the welfare state been the "lurking variable" that has been confounding society again as seen throughout history.

The real cause of riots and social unrest is the heart and mind of the people which is often degenerated by the spread of gifts, gratuities, and benefits at the expense of their neighbor.

Race Statistics in America

People are divided by their own pride, greed, covetousness, and of course their sloth and wantonness.
Different view - same statistics:
* America Is Less Racist Today Than Ever Before including comments by Condoleezza Rice narrated by Larry Elder
https://www.prageru.com/video/america-is-less-racist-today-than-ever-before/
* Larry Elder and facts about racism and profiling in America 5min
https://www.prageru.com/video/is-america-racist/
* Facts matter
https://www.facebook.com/127225910653607/posts/3236873216355512/
* Are the Police Racist? by Heather Mac Donald
https://www.prageru.com/video/are-the-police-racist/
* Cops Are the Good Guys
https://www.prageru.com/video/cops-are-the-good-guys/
* The Left Wants to Keep Racism Alive 5min
In America, there's a card more valuable than any card from Visa or American Express. What is it? How can you get one? Candace Owens answers these questions and explains why the Left continually invokes racism. 5min
https://www.prageru.com/video/the-left-wants-to-keep-racism-alive/
Is Larry Elder an Uncle Tom? Who or what is harming and destroying the black community?
https://youtu.be/vbhFubiFiqg 56 minutes

"All too often when liberals cite statistics, they forget the statisticians' warning that correlation is not causation." Thomas Sowell

Any fact or even the "messenger" who points to a fact that contradicts the theory of major racial oppression is called an enemy, an "Uncle Tom", or a racist. Like religious zealots who use their ideology to justify themselves, despite their weakness and frailties or fallacies, will gather their "pitchforks and torches" and desire to burn you at the stake even if they set the whole world on fire.

"If you have always believed that everyone should play by the same rules and be judged by the same standards, that would have gotten you labeled a radical 60 years ago, a liberal 30 years ago and a racist today." Thomas Sowell

This idea that racism is the cause of the plight of the Black-man was financially lucrative for many who depended on continuing racial friction or the appearance of it. Men have depended on keeping the people at odds from Caesar to Al Sharpton.

"Over the generations, black leaders have ranged from noble souls to shameless charlatans." Thomas Sowell

Could the victim of racism become a racist?

"I shall allow no man to belittle my soul by making me hate him." Booker T Washington

Without a culture of forgiveness, and a regular call to forgive, you will become like those whom you are insisting upon hating.

"If you want to lift yourself up, lift up someone else." You will not be able to do that until you forgive them first.

"For with what judgment ye judge, ye shall be judged: and with what measure ye mete, it shall be measured to you again." Matthew 7:2

"Of all forms of slavery there is none that is so harmful and degrading as that form of slavery which tempts one human being to hate another by reason of his race or color." – Booker T. Washington

Those who preach any other gospel than love and forgiveness lead the people away from liberty under God. Only the truth will set you free.

"The time is long overdue to stop looking for progress through racial or ethnic leaders. Such leaders have too many incentives to promote polarizing attitudes and actions that are counterproductive for minorities and disastrous for the country." Thomas Sowell

Assigning collective guilt may be simple or even comforting but it may be expensive in social capital. Focusing our attention on the negative may graft negative into our own mind. To do so with resentment, judgment and angry unforgiveness may draw us into the very thing we claim to hate.

Booker T Washington knew that "At the bottom of education, at the bottom of politics, even at the bottom of religion, there must be for our race economic independence." He knew to whine and complain or just think of yourself as a victim whether real or imagined is destructive. To desire benefits without working for them and becoming dependent upon those gratuities would degenerate and destroy the very character of the people.

"I have begun everything with the idea that I could succeed, and I never had much patience with the multitudes of people who are always ready to explain why one cannot succeed." – Booker T Washington

"I would say: “Cast down your bucket where you are.” Cast it down, making friends in every manly way of the people of all races, by whom you are surrounded." Booker T Washington's “Atlanta Compromise” address or “Cast down your bucket" speech

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